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NOAA Updates Hurricane Season Forecast

 Hurricane Irene
NOAA via Getty Images

Since the first hurricane forecasts started being published earlier this year almost all of the experts have suggested that 2014 would be an average or below season for storms.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has just issued a revised outlook for the remainder of the season. That updated forecast appears to be good news for those of us that don’t like bad storms.

In March the agency’s forecast suggested at 50% probability that the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season would be average or below. The revised forecast now suggests that probability is now 70%. Gary Bell, Lead Seasonal Forecaster, explains why changes in conditions across the Atlantic Basin has caused the agency has revised their outlook.

“As a result we just don’t expect many hurricanes to form this year,overall the update calls for 3-6 hurricanes for the season, 7-12 named storms and zero-2 major hurricanes.”

Bell made those comments in a story published by the Louisiana Radio Network.

Bell also cautioned residents of Louisiana that just because the outlook has changed doesn’t mean it’s time to let your guard down. While the prognosis may call for decreased chances of storms to form, it only takes one storm to make the season a bad one.

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