Pumpkins are out on porches, leaves are clogging gutters, sweaters and jackets have been forgotten after school days, doesn't that mean fall is here and Hurricane Season is over? Apparently not.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are monitoring an area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean Sea. This system has been given a 50% probability of strengthening into a tropical cyclone over the next five days.

Forecasters believe the system will be affected by the same frontal system that swept through South Louisiana on Sunday. This system is expected to push in the northwestern Caribbean Sea over the next few days.

As of now, the tropical forecast models are not consistently picking up on this system as a tropical threat, only as an area of disturbed weather. That could change over the coming days as conditions over the expected path of the system are expected to become more conducive for tropical development.