We've already pulled out the gumbo pots and some of us have even put a fire in the fireplace this fall. We shouldn't be thinking about tropical systems in late October? Well we might have to be thinking about a tropical system because there is a potential for one to develop in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. The area of disturbed weather is located just off the coast of Mexico in the Bay of Campeche.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center are giving this system a 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days. Whether or not the system could achieve named status remains uncertain at this time. If the system did strengthen to tropical storm status it would be given the moniker Hanna.

The computer forecast models have a varied solution when it comes to the eventual track of this weather system. Most of the reliable tracking models keep the system in the Bay of Campeche and eventually back on shore in Mexico.

Forecasters in the United States are keeping an eye on the system because in that part of the Gulf cyclones can intensify very quickly, however conditions do not seem to support such intensification at this time.

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