Late Season Tropical System Forming in Atlantic

The end of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is November 30th. You can tell by a quick glance at your calendar that the end is near. But, don't' tell that to Mother Nature. With less than two weeks to go in the season, another weather system is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for tropical development.

The system is centered about 500 miles east of the Leeward Islands. What that means is that it is out in the middle of the ocean. It is also expected to stay out in the middle of the ocean. Which is just fine with me.

Forecasters do give the system a 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next five days. However, the system is expected to merge with a cold front before that period of time elapses.

The bottom line is that at this point in time the system does not appear to be a hazard for the United States. However, the system could pose issues for the shipping industry. Should this system be classified as a tropical cyclone, a tropical depression or sub-tropical depression is the most likely scenario. That will not result in the system being named. However, if it does strengthen to tropical storm status it would earn the moniker Sebastien.