Louisiana cities such as Lafayette, Lake Charles, and Alexandria could be under the gun for a marginal threat of severe weather and a risk of excessive rainfall as the year 2022 comes to a close. Forecasters with the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Lake Charles Louisiana are saying rainfall amounts in excess of one inch will be common across Southwest Louisiana in particular beginning Thursday and lasting through New Year's Eve.

spc.noaa.gov
spc.noaa.gov
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed a small portion of extreme northwestern Louisiana under a marginal risk for severe storms late Thursday into Friday. The remainder of the state will likely see rain showers and occasional heavy thunderstorms. But as of now, this does not look to be a widespread severe weather maker.

weather.gov/lch
weather.gov/lch
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Meanwhile, the Weather Prediction Center is suggesting that there is a slight risk of excessive rainfall across the western half of the state during the day on Friday. It does appear as if the heavier rainfall will affect cities like Lake Charles and Shreveport more than it will affect cities such as Lafayette and Baton Rouge. But most of the entire state should experience rainfall of some kind before we welcome a new year on Saturday night.

wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
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By the way, the term "excessive rainfall" is used when forecasters anticipate that showers and storms could produce rainfall rates higher than a particular area's ability to drain that same amount of water over a given time frame. In other words, some of the showers or storms could produce very heavy downpours over a short period of time. This could lead to some localized flooding or urban street flooding in areas that do not drain well.

Parish News via YouTube
Parish News via YouTube
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Rain chances should begin to increase after midnight tonight. There is a significant threat of showers during the day Thursday through Friday night. It does look as if the threat of rain will move out of the area by Saturday morning. The forecast for New Year's Eve should be partly cloudy with low temperatures in the upper 50s. New Year's Day should be mostly sunny with a high near 75.

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