A broad area of low pressure now spinning north of the Yucatan Peninsula over the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico is beginning to show signs of development. The system which had been given a minimal chance of spinning up into a tropical cyclone has now been given a 40% chance of developing over the next five days.

Hurricane Hunter aircraft from Keesler Air Force Base in Biloxi MS are scheduled to fly into the system later today to collect data and report back to the National Hurricane Center.

Forecasters say that while the system does have a chance to get stronger the chances of it being anything more than just a prodigious rain producer for the northern Gulf states are indeed quite small.  Most of the tropical models have this system pushing off to the east of Louisiana and into the Florida panhandle over the next couple of days.