Since last weeks fairly close brush with Hurricane Hermine residents of the Gulf Coast have been keeping a watchful eye on the tropics. Since we are basically at the  peak of the hurricane season now is a good time to be weather aware, especially when it comes to the tropics.

Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center had been keeping an eye on a tropical wave since late last week. This wave rolled off of the African coast and had managed to hold together into the warm waters of the eastern Caribbean Sea.

Conditions in the Caribbean were such that the system has basically dissipated into an area of thundershowers and according to forecasters should not pose a threat for tropical development any time soon. It is expected this system will move west across the Caribbean and will eventually affect the Yucatan Peninsula.

Meanwhile further out in the Atlantic a more vigorous tropical wave is given a 70% probability of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next five days. The system is currently too unorganized to be picked up by any of the reliable tropical forecast models but over the next few days it is expected to gain strength as it moves to the west northwest over open water.

Should this system gain the status of tropical storm it would be given the name Ian.

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